PGL Wallachia 2024: Season 1. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Leviatanwin 2:0series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Qhaliloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Leviatan
No games played over 6 months.
Qhali
Earth Spirit
DaaD- · 1 game
Enigmaoften banned
DaaD- · 1 game
Grimstrokeoften banned
Jupiter · 1 game
Invokeroften banned
Ñengoflow KELOKE · 1 game
Linaoften banned
Ñengoflow KELOKE · 1 game
Phoenixoften banned
ShakaLord · 1 game
Tidehunteroften banned
Hyko · 1 game
Windrangeroften banned
Ñengoflow KELOKE · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
386 picks · 630 bans
Lion
379 picks · 352 bans
Mars
371 picks · 593 bans
Techies
370 picks · 301 bans
Batrider
351 picks · 755 bans
Vengeful Spirit
349 picks · 346 bans
Tiny
339 picks · 373 bans
Hoodwink
331 picks · 200 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 38%
Hero pool strength56% Leviatan
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Leviatan
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct10:20
Leviatan 58%Qhali 42%
The model gave 58% on Leviatan — the game was taken by Leviatan in 27:59.
Game 2prediction correct38:27
Leviatan 58%Qhali 42%
The model gave 58% on Leviatan — the game was taken by Leviatan in 38:36.
Model check result
Model favoriteLeviatan · 58%
Series resultLeviatan 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2