European Pro League Season 23 · BO3
result vs predictionLLFGloss 0:2
series probability
25%75%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Into The Breachwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
LFG
No games played over 6 months.
Into The Breach
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
476 picks · 395 bans
Clockwerk
443 picks · 552 bans
Batrider
400 picks · 508 bans
Lion
399 picks · 210 bans
Gyrocopter
393 picks · 646 bans
Phoenix
387 picks · 431 bans
Pangolier
367 picks · 583 bans
Beastmaster
350 picks · 895 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% LFG
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total75% Into The Breach
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:34
LFG 25%Into The Breach 75%
The model gave 75% on Into The Breach — the game was taken by Into The Breach in 48:21.
Game 2prediction correct17:37
LFG 25%Into The Breach 75%
The model gave 75% on Into The Breach — the game was taken by Into The Breach in 47:05.
Model check result
Model favoriteInto The Breach · 75%
Series resultInto The Breach 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2