Игры Будущего 2024 · BO3
result vs prediction
LGD Gamingwin 2:0series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 2:0
G2 Invictus Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
LGD Gaming
Lionsignature
Pyw · 13 games
Luna
shiro · 11 games
Pangolieroften banned
niu · 11 games
Phoenixsignature
y` · 11 games
Pucksignature
Setsu · 11 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Setsu · 9 games
Muertasignature
shiro · 9 games
Timbersawoften banned
niu · 9 games
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
361 picks · 309 bans
Centaur Warrunner
327 picks · 501 bans
Vengeful Spirit
324 picks · 303 bans
Pangolier
268 picks · 369 bans
Magnus
251 picks · 465 bans
Luna
246 picks · 226 bans
Techies
246 picks · 164 bans
Mars
245 picks · 309 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 68%
Hero pool strength55% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 3
Model total57% G2 Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed30:17
LGD Gaming 43%G2 Invictus Gaming 57%
The model gave 57% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 42:52.
Game 2prediction missed37:11
LGD Gaming 43%G2 Invictus Gaming 57%
The model gave 57% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 39:33.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Invictus Gaming · 57%
Series resultLGD Gaming 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2