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The International 2022 · BO2
result vs prediction
LGD Gamingloss 1:1
series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

LGD Gaming

Tiny
Tinysignature
XinQ · 19 games
79%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
Faith_bian · 15 games
73%
Razor
Razorsignature
Faith_bian · 15 games
80%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
NothingToSay · 14 games
86%
Dazzle
Dazzlesignature
y` · 11 games
91%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidsignature
Ame · 11 games
64%
Puck
Pucksignature
NothingToSay · 11 games
73%
Warlock
Warlocksignature
y` · 11 games
73%

Gaimin Gladiators

Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Seleri · 29 games
59%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Ace · 20 games
65%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
tOfu · 20 games
40%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Seleri · 18 games
50%
Tiny
Tiny
BOOM · 17 games
59%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
BOOM · 16 games
88%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightsignature
dyrachyo · 15 games
67%
Marci
Marcisignature
tOfu · 14 games
64%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
524 picks · 397 bans
53%
Marci
Marci
464 picks · 716 bans
53%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
304 picks · 473 bans
49%
Undying
Undying
296 picks · 504 bans
55%
Puck
Puck
292 picks · 702 bans
57%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
279 picks · 396 bans
47%
Enigma
Enigma
262 picks · 846 bans
58%
Snapfire
Snapfire
258 picks · 135 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)73% vs 37%
Hero pool strength60% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct40:17
LGD Gaming 60%Gaimin Gladiators 40%
The model gave 60% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 43:52.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sniper
SniperNothingToSay
45% · 27 games50% · 59 games
Shadow Fienddyrachyo
Shadow Fiend
Pudge
PudgeAme
61% · 53 games43% · 126 games
Ember SpiritBOOM
Ember Spirit
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerFaith_bian
49% · 94 games53% · 28 games
BroodmotherAce
Broodmother
Marci
MarciXinQ
53% · 132 games39% · 92 games
RubicktOfu
Rubick
Silencer
Silencery`
51% · 59 games58% · 60 games
Ogre MagiSeleri
Ogre Magi
Game 2prediction missed12:29
LGD Gaming 61%Gaimin Gladiators 39%
The model gave 61% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 35:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Naga Siren
Naga SirenAme
62% · 15 games59% · 41 game
Pudgedyrachyo
Pudge
Leshrac
LeshracNothingToSay
53% · 34 games42% · 43 games
BroodmotherAce
Broodmother
Legion Commander
Legion CommanderFaith_bian
50% · 17 games40% · 69 games
Primal BeastBOOM
Primal Beast
Clockwerk
ClockwerkXinQ
53% · 74 games38% · 45 games
SilencertOfu
Silencer
Undying
Undyingy`
56% · 78 games54% · 20 games
VenomancerSeleri
Venomancer
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 69%
Accuracy by game1 of 2