?
arrow_backBack to match
The International 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
LGD Gamingwin 2:1
series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 2:1
PlayTimeloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

LGD Gaming

Bane
Banesignature
KJ · 13 games
69%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Thiolicor · 12 games
67%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
KJ · 9 games
78%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
Wisper · 9 games
56%
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangersignature
Yuma · 8 games
88%
Kez
Kezsignature
Yuma · 8 games
75%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Wisper · 7 games
86%
Puck
Pucksignature
TaiLung · 7 games
86%

PlayTime

Tusk
Tusk
DJ · 18 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Scofield · 15 games
53%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Elmisho · 13 games
69%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
DarkMago · 12 games
33%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Elmisho · 12 games
42%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Wits · 12 games
42%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Wits · 11 games
73%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
DarkMago · 10 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
632 picks · 436 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
578 picks · 320 bans
49%
Phoenix
Phoenix
479 picks · 574 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
450 picks · 657 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
442 picks · 381 bans
51%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
355 picks · 522 bans
50%
Puck
Puck
341 picks · 1035 bans
59%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
341 picks · 409 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)72% vs 55%
Hero pool strength60% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total71% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed4:24
LGD Gaming 63%PlayTime 37%
The model gave 63% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by PlayTime in 31:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinYuma
48% · 268 games51% · 291 game
Shadow FiendWits
Shadow Fiend
Beastmaster
BeastmasterTaiLung
50% · 456 games48% · 388 games
Storm SpiritDarkMago
Storm Spirit
Pangolier
PangolierWisper
45% · 428 games52% · 123 games
LargoFrank
Largo
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightThiolicor
58% · 180 games45% · 250 games
RingmasterElmisho
Ringmaster
Bane
BaneKJ
58% · 266 games45% · 546 games
HoodwinkScofield
Hoodwink
Game 2prediction correct41:22
LGD Gaming 60%PlayTime 40%
The model gave 60% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 49:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Enigma
EnigmaWisper
47% · 68 games57% · 164 games
KunkkaDarkMago
Kunkka
Tiny
TinyYuma
42% · 380 games47% · 354 games
WindrangerWits
Windranger
Beastmaster
BeastmasterTaiLung
54% · 293 games58% · 248 games
LargoFrank
Largo
Hoodwink
HoodwinkThiolicor
49% · 403 games52% · 276 games
ClockwerkScofield
Clockwerk
Phoenix
PhoenixKJ
44% · 264 games49% · 366 games
RingmasterElmisho
Ringmaster
Game 3prediction correct44:40
LGD Gaming 63%PlayTime 37%
The model gave 63% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 1:17:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterYuma
46% · 293 games54% · 41 game
NecrophosWits
Necrophos
Pangolier
PangolierTaiLung
48% · 422 games52% · 482 games
BeastmasterFrank
Beastmaster
Kunkka
KunkkaWisper
52% · 134 games46% · 453 games
TinyDarkMago
Tiny
Hoodwink
HoodwinkThiolicor
52% · 667 games53% · 461 game
SnapfireScofield
Snapfire
Clockwerk
ClockwerkKJ
51% · 242 games47% · 321 game
PhoenixElmisho
Phoenix
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 71%
Series resultLGD Gaming 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3