ONE Esports Singapore Major 2021 · BO2
result vs prediction
LGD Gamingwin 2:0series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:0
T1loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
LGD Gaming
Pucksignature
NothingToSay · 14 games
Tusksignature
XinQ · 13 games
Void Spiritoften banned
NothingToSay · 13 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
NothingToSay · 12 games
Ancient Apparitionsignature
y` · 10 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Ame · 10 games
Beastmastersignature
Faith_bian · 8 games
Grimstrokesignature
XinQ · 8 games
T1
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
414 picks · 961 bans
Void Spirit
388 picks · 581 bans
Mars
340 picks · 621 bans
Earth Spirit
304 picks · 270 bans
Death Prophet
299 picks · 603 bans
Rubick
257 picks · 173 bans
Wraith King
247 picks · 412 bans
Phoenix
246 picks · 341 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 50%
Hero pool strength60% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:10
LGD Gaming 67%T1 33%
The model gave 67% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 47:26.
Game 2prediction correct36:17
LGD Gaming 67%T1 33%
The model gave 67% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 38:38.
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 67%
Series resultLGD Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2