?
arrow_backBack to match
BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024 · BO1
result vs prediction
LGD Gamingwin 1:0
series probability
25%75%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Team Falconsloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

LGD Gaming

Lion
Lionsignature
Pyw · 12 games
67%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
y` · 11 games
64%
Puck
Pucksignature
Setsu · 10 games
70%
Muerta
Muertasignature
shiro · 8 games
75%
Weaver
Weaversignature
shiro · 8 games
75%
Brewmaster
Brewmastersignature
niu · 7 games
71%
Luna
Lunasignature
shiro · 7 games
71%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
niu · 7 games
43%

Team Falcons

Mars
Marssignature
ATF · 21 game
86%
Luna
Lunasignature
Skiter · 17 games
76%
Weaver
Weaversignature
Cr1t- · 17 games
88%
Chen
Chensignature
Sneyking · 16 games
88%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Sneyking · 16 games
56%
Lina
Linasignature
Malr1ne · 16 games
69%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 15 games
73%
Puck
Pucksignature
Malr1ne · 14 games
86%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
370 picks · 565 bans
56%
Lion
Lion
332 picks · 284 bans
53%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
326 picks · 274 bans
52%
Phoenix
Phoenix
316 picks · 464 bans
49%
Magnus
Magnus
287 picks · 463 bans
56%
Pangolier
Pangolier
286 picks · 413 bans
51%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
281 picks · 460 bans
52%
Faceless Void
Faceless Void
278 picks · 687 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 72%
Hero pool strength58% Team Falcons
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total75% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed1:1
LGD Gaming 25%Team Falcons 75%
The model gave 75% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 23:30.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 75%
Series resultLGD Gaming 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1