?
arrow_backBack to match
BLAST Slam VII · BO3
result vs prediction
LGD Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Liquidloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

LGD Gaming

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Thiolicor · 8 games
88%
Bane
Banesignature
KJ · 7 games
71%
Kez
Kezsignature
TaiLung · 6 games
83%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
KJ · 6 games
67%
Windranger
Windranger
Thiolicor · 6 games
50%
Axe
Axeoften banned
Wisper · 5 games
60%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Wisper · 5 games
80%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
KJ · 4 games
75%

Team Liquid

Tiny
Tinysignature
miCKe · 40 games
65%
Tusk
Tusk
Boxi · 37 games
59%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Boxi · 33 games
67%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
miCKe · 31 game
71%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Nisha · 29 games
62%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Nisha · 27 games
63%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Nisha · 24 games
58%
Underlord
Underlordsignature
Ace · 24 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
608 picks · 380 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
503 picks · 278 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
497 picks · 583 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
474 picks · 393 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
414 picks · 576 bans
48%
Puck
Puck
353 picks · 948 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
340 picks · 285 bans
53%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
339 picks · 882 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)68% vs 58%
Hero pool strength53% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total59% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed24:7
LGD Gaming 46%Team Liquid 54%
The model gave 54% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 30:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Timbersaw
TimbersawWisper
52% · 135 games59% · 43 games
Lone DruidmiCKe
Lone Druid
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerYuma
53% · 24 games54% · 218 games
Primal BeastNisha
Primal Beast
Puck
PuckTaiLung
48% · 267 games43% · 363 games
SnapfireAce
Snapfire
Hoodwink
HoodwinkThiolicor
49% · 403 games42% · 32 games
Witch DoctortOfu
Witch Doctor
Omniknight
OmniknightKJ
49% · 17 games54% · 190 games
ClockwerkBoxi
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction missed33:12
LGD Gaming 47%Team Liquid 53%
The model gave 53% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 37:48.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Naga Siren
Naga SirenYuma
54% · 64 games41% · 26 games
Drow RangermiCKe
Drow Ranger
Dark Seer
Dark SeerWisper
49% · 55 games47% · 184 games
DawnbreakerAce
Dawnbreaker
Puck
PuckTaiLung
53% · 276 games56% · 277 games
SlardarNisha
Slardar
Phoenix
PhoenixKJ
48% · 192 games46% · 33 games
OmniknighttOfu
Omniknight
Clockwerk
ClockwerkThiolicor
50% · 106 games48% · 173 games
LionBoxi
Lion
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 59%
Series resultLGD Gaming 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2