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BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024 · BO3
result vs prediction
LGD Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
13%87%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Spiritwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

LGD Gaming

Lion
Lionsignature
Pyw · 12 games
67%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
y` · 11 games
64%
Puck
Pucksignature
Setsu · 10 games
70%
Muerta
Muertasignature
shiro · 9 games
67%
Luna
Lunasignature
shiro · 8 games
63%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Setsu · 8 games
38%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
y` · 8 games
50%
Weaver
Weaversignature
shiro · 8 games
75%

Team Spirit

Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Miposhka · 12 games
92%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Mira · 12 games
83%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
Larl · 12 games
92%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spiritsignature
Miposhka · 11 games
91%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Mira · 10 games
90%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Mira · 10 games
80%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidsignature
Yatoro · 8 games
75%
Puck
Pucksignature
Larl · 8 games
88%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
373 picks · 570 bans
56%
Lion
Lion
337 picks · 292 bans
53%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
333 picks · 283 bans
52%
Phoenix
Phoenix
317 picks · 466 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
297 picks · 417 bans
52%
Magnus
Magnus
292 picks · 478 bans
56%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
287 picks · 460 bans
51%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
284 picks · 788 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 53%
Hero pool strength62% Team Spirit
Head-to-head2 – 3
Model total87% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct12:31
LGD Gaming 27%Team Spirit 73%
The model gave 73% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 31:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
Svenshiro
55% · 87 games56% · 98 games
SlarkYatoro
Slark
Timbersaw
Timbersawniu
49% · 169 games52% · 89 games
PuckLarl
Puck
Outworld Destroyer
Outworld DestroyerSetsu
46% · 26 games45% · 12 games
OmniknightCollapse
Omniknight
Pudge
PudgePyw
50% · 54 games51% · 116 games
PugnaMiposhka
Pugna
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maideny`
37% · 96 games52% · 117 games
LionMira
Lion
Game 2prediction correct7:29
LGD Gaming 27%Team Spirit 73%
The model gave 73% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 31:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
Lunashiro
47% · 91 game53% · 96 games
SvenYatoro
Sven
Pangolier
Pangolierniu
53% · 250 games42% · 77 games
LinaLarl
Lina
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritSetsu
53% · 207 games46% · 169 games
MarsCollapse
Mars
Lion
LionPyw
51% · 163 games55% · 240 games
TinyMira
Tiny
Bane
Baney`
51% · 27 games47% · 156 games
GrimstrokeMiposhka
Grimstroke
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 87%
Series resultTeam Spirit 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2