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BLAST Slam VII · BO3
result vs prediction
LGD Gamingloss 1:2
series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Team Yandexwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

LGD Gaming

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Thiolicor · 7 games
86%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
KJ · 6 games
67%
Axe
Axe
Wisper · 5 games
60%
Bane
Bane
KJ · 5 games
80%
Kez
Kezoften banned
TaiLung · 5 games
80%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Wisper · 4 games
75%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
KJ · 4 games
75%
Windranger
Windranger
Thiolicor · 4 games
75%

Team Yandex

Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Malady · 32 games
75%
Tiny
Tiny
Saksa · 28 games
57%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
Chira JUNIOR · 26 games
62%
Tusk
Tusk
Saksa · 26 games
58%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Saksa · 24 games
63%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Saksa · 23 games
78%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
Watson · 22 games
77%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Saksa · 21 game
62%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
607 picks · 377 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
497 picks · 276 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
494 picks · 582 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
469 picks · 392 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
411 picks · 570 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
346 picks · 940 bans
53%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
337 picks · 872 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
335 picks · 283 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)72% vs 64%
Hero pool strength52% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total60% Team Yandex
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct5:45
LGD Gaming 46%Team Yandex 54%
The model gave 54% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 40:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Largo
LargoWisper
54% · 103 games40% · 48 games
Drow RangerWatson
Drow Ranger
Timbersaw
TimbersawTaiLung
53% · 125 games50% · 161 game
DoomDM
Doom
Alchemist
AlchemistYuma
60% · 88 games42% · 32 games
Death ProphetChira JUNIOR
Death Prophet
Windranger
WindrangerThiolicor
49% · 150 games46% · 183 games
RubickSaksa
Rubick
Bane
BaneKJ
58% · 110 games46% · 152 games
ClockwerkMalady
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction missed41:8
LGD Gaming 45%Team Yandex 55%
The model gave 55% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 37:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
KezYuma
48% · 178 games49% · 338 games
WindrangerWatson
Windranger
Puck
PuckTaiLung
47% · 519 games46% · 525 games
Void SpiritChira JUNIOR
Void Spirit
Batrider
BatriderWisper
45% · 257 games56% · 183 games
LargoDM
Largo
Hoodwink
HoodwinkThiolicor
52% · 480 games59% · 146 games
Treant ProtectorMalady
Treant Protector
Bane
BaneKJ
54% · 105 games46% · 347 games
RubickSaksa
Rubick
Game 3prediction correct19:46
LGD Gaming 45%Team Yandex 55%
The model gave 55% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 1:00:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Puck
PuckTaiLung
47% · 315 games55% · 236 games
DoomDM
Doom
Snapfire
SnapfireWisper
48% · 209 games51% · 235 games
KezWatson
Kez
Tiny
TinyYuma
40% · 379 games48% · 367 games
SlardarChira JUNIOR
Slardar
Windranger
WindrangerThiolicor
52% · 244 games54% · 139 games
Keeper of the LightSaksa
Keeper of the Light
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernKJ
50% · 59 games55% · 229 games
ClockwerkMalady
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Yandex · 60%
Series resultTeam Yandex 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3