BTS Pro Series Season 12: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Lilgunwin 2:0series probability
19%81%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Hokoriloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Lilgun
No games played over 6 months.
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
614 picks · 470 bans
Marci
457 picks · 672 bans
Dawnbreaker
387 picks · 541 bans
Puck
374 picks · 832 bans
Winter Wyvern
319 picks · 403 bans
Death Prophet
298 picks · 480 bans
Zeus
267 picks · 348 bans
Dazzle
263 picks · 163 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)29% vs 56%
Hero pool strength50% Lilgun
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total81% Hokori
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct51:32
Lilgun 19%Hokori 81%
The model gave 81% on Hokori — the game was taken by Hokori in 47:50.
Game 2prediction correct12:33
Lilgun 19%Hokori 81%
The model gave 81% on Hokori — the game was taken by Hokori in 32:57.
Model check result
Model favoriteHokori · 81%
Series resultLilgun 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2