LOOT.BET Pro Series Season 7. Юго-Восточная Азия · BO3
result vs prediction
Lilgunloss 0:2series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 0:2
MYM Ywin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Lilgun
No games played over 6 months.
M Y
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
419 picks · 169 bans
Ancient Apparition
310 picks · 463 bans
Mars
310 picks · 517 bans
Nyx Assassin
296 picks · 619 bans
Puck
294 picks · 736 bans
Snapfire
286 picks · 161 bans
Enchantress
275 picks · 360 bans
Tiny
267 picks · 218 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)25% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% Lilgun
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% M Y
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct19:39
Lilgun 45%M Y 55%
The model gave 55% on M Y — the game was taken by M Y in 38:23.
Game 2prediction correct25:19
Lilgun 45%M Y 55%
The model gave 55% on M Y — the game was taken by M Y in 37:26.
Model check result
Model favoriteM Y · 55%
Series resultM Y 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2