PNXBET Invitationals Southeast Asia Season 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Lilgunloss 0:2series probability
15%85%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Neon Esportswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Lilgun
No games played over 6 months.
Neon Esports
Miranasignature
PlayHard · 24 games
Nyx Assassinoften banned
PlayHard · 22 games
Pucksignature
Yopaj · 21 game
Sand King
Yopaj · 20 games
Tusk
Jaunuel · 16 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Skem · 15 games
Pangoliersignature
PlayHard · 14 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Yopaj · 13 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
461 picks · 182 bans
Snapfire
362 picks · 202 bans
Mars
351 picks · 557 bans
Puck
330 picks · 827 bans
Ancient Apparition
318 picks · 476 bans
Nyx Assassin
310 picks · 608 bans
Tiny
305 picks · 243 bans
Enchantress
285 picks · 363 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)26% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% Neon Esports
Head-to-head0 – 3
Model total85% Neon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteNeon Esports · 85%
Series resultNeon Esports 0:2
Series predictioncorrect