The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Lindorfitos
Crystal Maiden
StingeR · 1 game
Kezoften banned
DaaD- · 1 game
Necrophosoften banned
DaaD- · 1 game
Rubick
StingeR · 1 game
Treant Protectoroften banned
StingeR · 1 game
Windranger
DaaD- · 1 game
RisingRage
Slardaroften banned
Hermit · 2 games
Beastmasteroften banned
DM · 1 game
Hoodwink
Kiri · 1 game
Jakiro
Kiri · 1 game
Kunkkaoften banned
DM · 1 game
Largooften banned
CHAAANNN · 1 game
Winter Wyvern
CHAAANNN · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
623 picks · 404 bans
Rubick
526 picks · 290 bans
Phoenix
484 picks · 581 bans
Tiny
470 picks · 388 bans
Pangolier
427 picks · 602 bans
Puck
345 picks · 982 bans
Tusk
342 picks · 289 bans
Ember Spirit
337 picks · 508 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 60%
Hero pool strength56% RisingRage
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total78% Lindorfitos
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Lindorfitos 78%RisingRage 22%
The model gave 78% on Lindorfitos — the game was taken by RisingRage.
Game 2prediction correct
Lindorfitos 78%RisingRage 22%
The model gave 78% on Lindorfitos — the game was taken by Lindorfitos.
Game 3prediction correct
Lindorfitos 78%RisingRage 22%
The model gave 78% on Lindorfitos — the game was taken by Lindorfitos.
Model check result
Model favoriteLindorfitos · 78%
Series resultLindorfitos 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3