FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionLFLooking for Orgwin 2:0
series probability
84%16%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Looking for Org
Marsoften banned
DarkMago · 24 games
Tuskoften banned
Yadomi · 21 game
Gyrocopteroften banned
Mnz · 18 games
Enchantressoften banned
Yadomi · 17 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Yadomi · 16 games
Snapfiresignature
Matthew · 15 games
Tinyoften banned
DarkMago · 15 games
Doomsignature
Sacred · 14 games
Fantasy Gaming
Ogre Magi
JimmyCoff666 · 3 games
Enigmaoften banned
ArzenT · 2 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
DM · 2 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
S1RENM · 1 game
Lunaoften banned
DM · 1 game
Naga Sirenoften banned
JimmyCoff666 · 1 game
Sniperoften banned
S1RENM · 1 game
Storm Spiritoften banned
S1RENM · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
484 picks · 655 bans
Clockwerk
444 picks · 516 bans
Pangolier
381 picks · 561 bans
Dark Willow
370 picks · 189 bans
Batrider
342 picks · 381 bans
Muerta
324 picks · 246 bans
Luna
323 picks · 425 bans
Invoker
319 picks · 895 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 50%
Hero pool strength57% Looking for Org
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total84% Looking for Org
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct23:7
Looking for Org 71%Fantasy Gaming 29%
The model gave 71% on Looking for Org — the game was taken by Looking for Org in 23:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MedusaWits
SvenDM
Earth SpiritDarkMago
LinaS1RENM
EnigmaSacred
TuskJimmyCoff666
ClockwerkMatthew
GyrocopterPanda
Game 2prediction correct35:40
Looking for Org 71%Fantasy Gaming 29%
The model gave 71% on Looking for Org — the game was taken by Looking for Org in 48:30.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
SlarkWits
MedusaDM
DawnbreakerSacred
Ember SpiritS1RENM
Earth SpiritDarkMago
Ogre MagiJimmyCoff666
EnchantressPanda
MuertaMatthew
Model check result
Model favoriteLooking for Org · 84%
Series resultLooking for Org 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2