PGL Wallachia Season 2. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionLFLooking for Orgwin 2:0
series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Legacyloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Looking for Org
No games played over 6 months.
Legacy
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
412 picks · 348 bans
Hoodwink
408 picks · 447 bans
Weaver
386 picks · 827 bans
Tiny
378 picks · 871 bans
Phoenix
358 picks · 742 bans
Pangolier
341 picks · 512 bans
Clockwerk
328 picks · 499 bans
Ember Spirit
299 picks · 560 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Looking for Org
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% Looking for Org
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Looking for Org 65%Legacy 35%
The model gave 65% on Looking for Org — the game was taken by Looking for Org.
Game 2prediction correct
Looking for Org 65%Legacy 35%
The model gave 65% on Looking for Org — the game was taken by Looking for Org.
Model check result
Model favoriteLooking for Org · 65%
Series resultLooking for Org 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2