Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 3. Южная Америка. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
los moticucosloss 0:1series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 0:1
chandogswin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
los moticucos
No games played over 6 months.
chandogs
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
763 picks · 604 bans
Disruptor
548 picks · 464 bans
Beastmaster
422 picks · 999 bans
Tiny
419 picks · 379 bans
Ember Spirit
395 picks · 935 bans
Nature's Prophet
393 picks · 668 bans
Undying
391 picks · 601 bans
Doom
389 picks · 588 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 63%
Hero pool strength50% los moticucos
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% los moticucos
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
los moticucos 59%chandogs 41%
The model gave 59% on los moticucos — the game was taken by chandogs.
Model check result
Model favoritelos moticucos · 59%
Series resultchandogs 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1