OB.Moon Asian Arena · BO2
result vs predictionMYM Yloss 1:1
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Army Geniusesloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
M Y
Templar Assassinoften banned
Beebie · 4 games
Disruptor
LionaX · 3 games
Elder Titan
MyPro · 3 games
Lycanoften banned
KNP · 3 games
Bane
LionaX · 2 games
Brewmasteroften banned
LionaX · 2 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Beebie · 2 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
LionaX · 2 games
Army Geniuses
Earth Spirit
Lym- · 14 games
Timbersawoften banned
woMy · 12 games
Mirana
Lym- · 10 games
Broodmotheroften banned
woMy · 8 games
Marsoften banned
woMy · 8 games
Axeoften banned
db- · 7 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
MamangDaya · 7 games
Hoodwink
Lym- · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
367 picks · 170 bans
Hoodwink
346 picks · 123 bans
Lina
265 picks · 457 bans
Nyx Assassin
259 picks · 520 bans
Luna
250 picks · 347 bans
Mars
242 picks · 411 bans
Winter Wyvern
236 picks · 244 bans
Dragon Knight
234 picks · 328 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)27% vs 30%
Hero pool strength51% M Y
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Army Geniuses
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteArmy Geniuses · 51%