Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 3 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Mad Kingswin 2:0series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 2:0
South Teamloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Mad Kings
Marssignature
Frank · 12 games
Ogre Magisignature
Mjz · 10 games
Beastmastersignature
Frank · 9 games
Leshracoften banned
Leostyle · 6 games
Templar Assassinsignature
Mnz · 6 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Leostyle · 5 games
Medusaoften banned
Mnz · 5 games
Puckoften banned
Leostyle · 5 games
South Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
467 picks · 641 bans
Tiny
463 picks · 495 bans
Bane
440 picks · 267 bans
Sand King
422 picks · 554 bans
Storm Spirit
360 picks · 605 bans
Dragon Knight
358 picks · 420 bans
Pangolier
352 picks · 534 bans
Death Prophet
347 picks · 809 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 71%
Hero pool strength57% Mad Kings
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% South Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteSouth Team · 66%
Series resultMad Kings 2:0
Series predictionmissed