Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 3 — ЮВА · BO1
result vs prediction
Made in Philippineswin 1:0series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Atlantisloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Made in Philippines
No games played over 6 months.
Atlantis
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
466 picks · 644 bans
Tiny
458 picks · 496 bans
Bane
438 picks · 267 bans
Sand King
426 picks · 564 bans
Dragon Knight
368 picks · 427 bans
Storm Spirit
363 picks · 613 bans
Pangolier
353 picks · 542 bans
Death Prophet
341 picks · 807 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 57%
Hero pool strength50% Made in Philippines
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% Atlantis
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteAtlantis · 62%
Series resultMade in Philippines 1:0
Series predictionmissed