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Khaz Modan Cup Season 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Made in Philippineswin 2:0
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Execrationloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Made in Philippines

Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Rupido · 4 games
100%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Ken · 4 games
75%
Juggernaut
Juggernautoften banned
Ken · 3 games
67%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
JG · 3 games
67%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Rupido · 3 games
33%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Rupido · 3 games
67%
Bane
Bane
Teehee · 2 games
100%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Rupido · 2 games
0%

Execration

Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Palos · 17 games
53%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Tino- · 16 games
31%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Tino- · 14 games
64%
Bane
Bane
RR · 12 games
33%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
RR · 12 games
33%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Shanks · 11 games
73%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
RR · 10 games
40%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
RR · 10 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
509 picks · 451 bans
49%
Mars
Mars
493 picks · 690 bans
48%
Bane
Bane
458 picks · 289 bans
58%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
437 picks · 536 bans
52%
Sand King
Sand King
399 picks · 551 bans
55%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
396 picks · 635 bans
56%
Pangolier
Pangolier
372 picks · 624 bans
51%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
360 picks · 318 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 38%
Hero pool strength56% Made in Philippines
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Execration
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Made in Philippines 48%Execration 52%
The model gave 52% on Execration — the game was taken by Made in Philippines.
Game 2prediction missed
Made in Philippines 48%Execration 52%
The model gave 52% on Execration — the game was taken by Made in Philippines.
Model check result
Model favoriteExecration · 52%
Series resultMade in Philippines 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2