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Khaz Modan Cup Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Made in Philippineswin 2:1
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:1
LBZSloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Made in Philippines

Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Rupido · 7 games
86%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
Ken · 7 games
71%
Mars
Marssignature
Rupido · 6 games
67%
Juggernaut
Juggernautoften banned
Ken · 5 games
80%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Teehee · 4 games
25%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Rupido · 4 games
50%
Puck
Puckoften banned
JG · 4 games
50%
Bane
Bane
Teehee · 3 games
100%

LBZS

Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Shanks · 14 games
43%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Shanks · 9 games
11%
Tiny
Tiny
CatYou · 8 games
38%
Tusk
Tusk
CatYou · 8 games
25%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
CatYou · 7 games
43%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
Shanks · 7 games
57%
Mirana
Mirana
CatYou · 6 games
17%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkeroften banned
Molasses · 6 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
494 picks · 430 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
456 picks · 681 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
427 picks · 535 bans
51%
Bane
Bane
406 picks · 289 bans
58%
Pangolier
Pangolier
354 picks · 591 bans
51%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
348 picks · 569 bans
55%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knight
332 picks · 643 bans
55%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
330 picks · 620 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 50%
Hero pool strength64% Made in Philippines
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total60% Made in Philippines
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Made in Philippines 60%LBZS 40%
The model gave 60% on Made in Philippines — the game was taken by LBZS.
Game 2prediction correct
Made in Philippines 60%LBZS 40%
The model gave 60% on Made in Philippines — the game was taken by Made in Philippines.
Game 3prediction correct
Made in Philippines 60%LBZS 40%
The model gave 60% on Made in Philippines — the game was taken by Made in Philippines.
Model check result
Model favoriteMade in Philippines · 60%
Series resultMade in Philippines 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3