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Elite League Season 2 - Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
MAG.Yololoss 0:2
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Evil Rabbitwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

MAG.Yolo

Batrider
Batrideroften banned
czy · 5 games
20%
Lifestealer
Lifestealeroften banned
RA1NCLOUD · 3 games
67%
Rubick
Rubick
czy · 3 games
33%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
出省 · 3 games
33%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowoften banned
czy · 2 games
100%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
出省 · 2 games
100%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
RA1NCLOUD · 2 games
0%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
TrazaM · 2 games
0%

Evil Rabbit

Disruptor
Disruptoroften banned
QYQX · 2 games
50%
Razor
Razoroften banned
ButterflyEffect · 2 games
50%
Windranger
Windranger
ButterflyEffect · 2 games
100%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
xiaoyu154 · 1 game
100%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
xiaoyu154 · 1 game
100%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
QYQX · 1 game
100%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 1 game
100%
Lina
Linaoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
419 picks · 618 bans
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
371 picks · 392 bans
51%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
370 picks · 143 bans
53%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
361 picks · 469 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
319 picks · 579 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
319 picks · 158 bans
51%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
318 picks · 341 bans
52%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
314 picks · 651 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 67%
Hero pool strength57% Evil Rabbit
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total53% Evil Rabbit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct37:37
MAG.Yolo 47%Evil Rabbit 53%
The model gave 53% on Evil Rabbit — the game was taken by Evil Rabbit in 43:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Razor
RazorRA1NCLOUD
38% · 83 games58% · 76 games
Storm SpiritButterflyEffect
Storm Spirit
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorTrazaM
54% · 29 games62% · 27 games
Underlordxiaoyu154
Underlord
Dark Willow
Dark Willowczy
37% · 105 games55% · 114 games
Crystal MaidenQYQX
Crystal Maiden
Game 2prediction correct27:29
MAG.Yolo 50%Evil Rabbit 50%
The model gave 50% on Evil Rabbit — the game was taken by Evil Rabbit in 33:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Chaos Knight
Chaos KnightRA1NCLOUD
55% · 37 games45% · 56 games
Beastmasterxiaoyu154
Beastmaster
Witch Doctor
Witch DoctorTrazaM
56% · 13 games48% · 45 games
ZeusButterflyEffect
Zeus
Dark Willow
Dark Willowczy
51% · 139 games48% · 88 games
GrimstrokeQYQX
Grimstroke
Model check result
Model favoriteEvil Rabbit · 53%
Series resultEvil Rabbit 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2