ESL One Birmingham 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
MAG.Yolowin 1:0series probability
19%81%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Titanloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
MAG.Yolo
Elder Titanoften banned
冷鸟 · 1 game
Vengeful Spirit
出省 · 1 game
Titan
Lion
mercy · 4 games
Tusk
mercy · 4 games
Zeus
Setsu · 4 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Undyne_ · 3 games
Doomoften banned
ELeVeN · 3 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Undyne_ · 3 games
Techies
mercy · 3 games
Abaddonoften banned
ELeVeN · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
296 picks · 428 bans
Phoenix
272 picks · 405 bans
Grimstroke
260 picks · 441 bans
Tusk
226 picks · 206 bans
Nature's Prophet
225 picks · 629 bans
Lion
224 picks · 201 bans
Vengeful Spirit
220 picks · 111 bans
Pangolier
214 picks · 306 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% MAG.Yolo
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total81% Titan
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
MAG.Yolo 19%Titan 81%
The model gave 81% on Titan — the game was taken by MAG.Yolo.
Model check result
Model favoriteTitan · 81%
Series resultMAG.Yolo 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1