Школьная лига 2022 · BO3
result vs predictionМ"МАОУ "ЛИЦЕЙ № 3"loss 0:2
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:2
М"МОБУ "СОШ 31"win 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
МАОУ "ЛИЦЕЙ № 3"
No games played over 6 months.
МОБУ "СОШ 31"
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
354 picks · 256 bans
Marci
316 picks · 557 bans
Undying
284 picks · 467 bans
Tusk
283 picks · 197 bans
Pangolier
251 picks · 436 bans
Primal Beast
238 picks · 516 bans
Shadow Fiend
218 picks · 298 bans
Crystal Maiden
210 picks · 105 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 67%
Hero pool strength50% МАОУ "ЛИЦЕЙ № 3"
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% МАОУ "ЛИЦЕЙ № 3"
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
МАОУ "ЛИЦЕЙ № 3" 50%МОБУ "СОШ 31" 50%
The model gave 50% on МАОУ "ЛИЦЕЙ № 3" — the game was taken by МОБУ "СОШ 31".
Game 2prediction missed
МАОУ "ЛИЦЕЙ № 3" 50%МОБУ "СОШ 31" 50%
The model gave 50% on МАОУ "ЛИЦЕЙ № 3" — the game was taken by МОБУ "СОШ 31".
Model check result
Model favoriteМАОУ "ЛИЦЕЙ № 3" · 50%
Series resultМОБУ "СОШ 31" 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2