?
arrow_backBack to match
BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
MarsBet Teamwin 2:0
series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Level UPloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

MarsBet Team

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Mr. Luck · 15 games
47%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
LeBronDota · 12 games
42%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Otaker · 10 games
40%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
Mitch · 9 games
44%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Mr. Luck · 8 games
25%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Jeezy · 8 games
63%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
LeBronDota · 8 games
38%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingsignature
Mr. Luck · 8 games
63%

Level UP

Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
Lorenof · 14 games
86%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light
swedenstrong · 13 games
46%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
OwnedMe · 12 games
58%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
swedenstrong · 12 games
42%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Lorenof · 12 games
58%
Tusk
Tusk
dEsire · 10 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
Lorenof · 9 games
44%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
OwnedMe · 9 games
56%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
247 picks · 419 bans
52%
Muerta
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
212 picks · 324 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
197 picks · 181 bans
46%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
195 picks · 97 bans
53%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
193 picks · 266 bans
49%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
185 picks · 358 bans
53%
Kunkka
Kunkka
177 picks · 504 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 52%
Hero pool strength57% Level UP
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total59% Level UP
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
MarsBet Team 41%Level UP 59%
The model gave 59% on Level UP — the game was taken by MarsBet Team.
Game 2prediction missed
MarsBet Team 41%Level UP 59%
The model gave 59% on Level UP — the game was taken by MarsBet Team.
Model check result
Model favoriteLevel UP · 59%
Series resultMarsBet Team 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2