Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 3 — Восточная Европа · BO1
result vs predictionMMaybeBabyFanswin 1:0
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:0
STSworn to liveloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
MaybeBabyFans
No games played over 6 months.
Sworn to live
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
468 picks · 650 bans
Tiny
457 picks · 485 bans
Bane
449 picks · 276 bans
Sand King
424 picks · 574 bans
Dragon Knight
374 picks · 435 bans
Storm Spirit
372 picks · 621 bans
Pangolier
357 picks · 552 bans
Death Prophet
340 picks · 804 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% MaybeBabyFans
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% MaybeBabyFans
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteMaybeBabyFans · 50%
Series resultMaybeBabyFans 1:0
Series predictioncorrect