Esports Nations Cup 2026. Региональные отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Мексикаwin 2:1series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Коста-Рикаloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Мексика
No games played over 6 months.
Коста-Рика
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
632 picks · 444 bans
Rubick
599 picks · 340 bans
Pangolier
436 picks · 643 bans
Phoenix
423 picks · 490 bans
Tiny
397 picks · 357 bans
Storm Spirit
337 picks · 382 bans
Ember Spirit
334 picks · 497 bans
Puck
318 picks · 977 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Мексика
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Коста-Рика
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Мексика 49%Коста-Рика 51%
The model gave 51% on Коста-Рика — the game was taken by Коста-Рика.
Game 2prediction missed
Мексика 49%Коста-Рика 51%
The model gave 51% on Коста-Рика — the game was taken by Мексика.
Game 3prediction missed
Мексика 49%Коста-Рика 51%
The model gave 51% on Коста-Рика — the game was taken by Мексика.
Model check result
Model favoriteКоста-Рика · 51%
Series resultМексика 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3