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The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Mentality Monsterloss 0:1
series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Direbornwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Mentality Monster

Silencer
Silencer
Juju · 7 games
57%
Snapfire
Snapfireoften banned
GaN- · 5 games
40%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
OneJey · 4 games
50%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Juju · 4 games
75%
Tiny
Tiny
Cije · 4 games
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
egxrdemxn · 3 games
100%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
OneJey · 3 games
100%
Largo
Largooften banned
OneJey · 3 games
67%

Direborn

Silencer
Silencer
PlayHard · 4 games
25%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Juju · 3 games
33%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
woMy · 3 games
67%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
woMy · 3 games
33%
Kez
Kezoften banned
db- · 3 games
33%
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangeroften banned
db- · 2 games
100%
Marci
Marci
db- · 2 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
woMy · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
636 picks · 428 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
548 picks · 307 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
490 picks · 586 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
475 picks · 400 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
434 picks · 636 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
356 picks · 1018 bans
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
347 picks · 537 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
347 picks · 301 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 46%
Hero pool strength55% Mentality Monster
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total70% Mentality Monster
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed26:36
Mentality Monster 60%Direborn 40%
The model gave 60% on Mentality Monster — the game was taken by Direborn in 39:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinCije
50% · 89 games60% · 47 games
Lone Druiddb-
Lone Druid
Puck
PuckGaN-
50% · 170 games49% · 256 games
TimbersawwoMy
Timbersaw
Underlord
Underlordegxrdemxn
37% · 130 games51% · 336 games
PhoenixPlayHard
Phoenix
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonOneJey
50% · 148 games
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorJuju
57% · 102 games
Model check result
Model favoriteMentality Monster · 70%
Series resultDireborn 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1