DreamLeague Season 23 - Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Midas Clubwin 2:0series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Pacific esportsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Midas Club
Mirana
Hyko · 3 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
FCR · 2 games
Crystal Maiden
Wij · 2 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
4dr · 2 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Hyko · 2 games
Techies
Hyko · 2 games
Zeusoften banned
4dr · 2 games
Batrideroften banned
Wij · 1 game
Pacific esports
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mingatte · 2 games
Doomoften banned
Mingatte · 1 game
Spirit Breakeroften banned
Mingatte · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
383 picks · 351 bans
Centaur Warrunner
362 picks · 575 bans
Mars
350 picks · 530 bans
Techies
346 picks · 269 bans
Vengeful Spirit
345 picks · 336 bans
Batrider
327 picks · 665 bans
Hoodwink
316 picks · 190 bans
Tiny
307 picks · 312 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 38%
Hero pool strength56% Midas Club
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% Midas Club
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:23
Midas Club 63%Pacific esports 37%
The model gave 63% on Midas Club — the game was taken by Midas Club in 45:49.
Game 2prediction correct45:23
Midas Club 63%Pacific esports 37%
The model gave 63% on Midas Club — the game was taken by Midas Club in 40:21.
Model check result
Model favoriteMidas Club · 63%
Series resultMidas Club 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2