Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Mind Gamesloss 1:2series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Nemiga Gamingwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Mind Games
No games played over 6 months.
Nemiga Gaming
Marsoften banned
TheChosenOne · 25 games
Dark Willow
Heaven · 24 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Kiritych · 24 games
Shadow Demon
Heaven · 24 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Heaven · 21 game
Beastmasteroften banned
Ainkrad · 19 games
Nyx Assassinsignature
VANSKOR · 18 games
Rubick
Heaven · 18 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
538 picks · 377 bans
Mars
458 picks · 653 bans
Queen of Pain
426 picks · 521 bans
Weaver
413 picks · 858 bans
Snapfire
357 picks · 182 bans
Kunkka
329 picks · 537 bans
Spirit Breaker
328 picks · 519 bans
Disruptor
270 picks · 182 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 53%
Hero pool strength51% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total50% Mind Games
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed30:18
Mind Games 50%Nemiga Gaming 50%
The model gave 50% on Mind Games — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 36:29.
Game 2prediction missed19:3
Mind Games 50%Nemiga Gaming 50%
The model gave 50% on Mind Games — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 34:23.
Game 3prediction missed31:28
Mind Games 50%Nemiga Gaming 50%
The model gave 50% on Mind Games — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 42:43.
Model check result
Model favoriteMind Games · 50%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 3