Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 3 — Восточная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
Mind Gamesloss 0:2series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 0:2
One Movewin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Mind Games
No games played over 6 months.
One Move
Banesignature
Panto · 32 games
Miranasignature
sayuw · 29 games
Sand Kingsignature
mellojul · 27 games
Storm Spiritsignature
mellojul · 27 games
Pangoliersignature
mellojul · 26 games
Marssignature
AfterLife · 20 games
Medusasignature
Smiling Knight · 19 games
Clockwerksignature
sayuw · 16 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
497 picks · 446 bans
Mars
490 picks · 686 bans
Bane
466 picks · 286 bans
Dragon Knight
436 picks · 518 bans
Sand King
413 picks · 565 bans
Storm Spirit
402 picks · 647 bans
Pangolier
374 picks · 608 bans
Grimstroke
356 picks · 311 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)35% vs 50%
Hero pool strength62% One Move
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Mind Games
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed13:29
Mind Games 51%One Move 49%
The model gave 51% on Mind Games — the game was taken by One Move in 40:38.
Game 2prediction missed22:8
Mind Games 51%One Move 49%
The model gave 51% on Mind Games — the game was taken by One Move in 30:18.
Model check result
Model favoriteMind Games · 51%
Series resultOne Move 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2