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BetBoom Streamers Battle 13 · BO3
result vs prediction
Miposhka Teamwin 2:1
series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Nix Teamloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Miposhka Team

Jakiro
Jakiro
VooDooSh · 2 games
50%
Lion
Lion
VooDooSh · 2 games
100%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
Shachlo · 2 games
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
VooDooSh · 2 games
100%
Techies
Techies
Miposhka · 2 games
100%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
Mariachi · 2 games
50%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knight
Mariachi · 1 game
0%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
VooDooSh · 1 game
0%

Nix Team

Jakiro
Jakiro
alagon · 2 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Nix · 2 games
0%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
ct0m · 2 games
50%
Underlord
Underlordoften banned
bowbowbow · 2 games
50%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
bowbowbow · 1 game
100%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
Cooman · 1 game
100%
Axe
Axe
bowbowbow · 1 game
100%
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunter
alagon · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
540 picks · 329 bans
55%
Phoenix
Phoenix
474 picks · 573 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
433 picks · 229 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
423 picks · 356 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
353 picks · 485 bans
48%
Jakiro
Jakiro
337 picks · 230 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
320 picks · 847 bans
52%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
314 picks · 820 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 57%
Hero pool strength52% Miposhka Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Nix Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:45
Miposhka Team 47%Nix Team 53%
The model gave 53% on Nix Team — the game was taken by Nix Team in 1:06:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Wraith King
Wraith KingMariachi
little data44% · 14 games
BloodseekerCooman
Bloodseeker
Pangolier
Pangolierybicanoooobov
48% · 231 game56% · 127 games
Primal BeastNix
Primal Beast
Enigma
EnigmaShachlo
41% · 47 games43% · 58 games
Brewmasterbowbowbow
Brewmaster
Lion
LionVooDooSh
60% · 62 games55% · 55 games
Techiesct0m
Techies
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakerMiposhka
54% · 36 games45% · 122 games
Dark Willowalagon
Dark Willow
Game 2prediction missed49:38
Miposhka Team 45%Nix Team 55%
The model gave 55% on Nix Team — the game was taken by Miposhka Team in 1:16:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
TinyMariachi
45% · 266 games43% · 27 games
Anti-MageCooman
Anti-Mage
Necrophos
Necrophosybicanoooobov
40% · 6 games51% · 270 games
Shadow FiendNix
Shadow Fiend
Batrider
BatriderShachlo
57% · 238 games51% · 345 games
Centaur Warrunnerbowbowbow
Centaur Warrunner
Ancient Apparition
Ancient ApparitionVooDooSh
51% · 57 games50% · 168 games
Pugnaalagon
Pugna
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonMiposhka
50% · 271 game50% · 28 games
Lichct0m
Lich
Game 3prediction missed29:20
Miposhka Team 46%Nix Team 54%
The model gave 54% on Nix Team — the game was taken by Miposhka Team in 40:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Lancer
Phantom LancerMariachi
57% · 10 games45% · 27 games
Drow RangerCooman
Drow Ranger
Death Prophet
Death Prophetybicanoooobov
48% · 64 games47% · 289 games
Storm SpiritNix
Storm Spirit
Mars
MarsShachlo
49% · 221 game52% · 203 games
Marcibowbowbow
Marci
Warlock
WarlockVooDooSh
53% · 252 games47% · 51 game
Ogre Magict0m
Ogre Magi
Bane
BaneMiposhka
48% · 111 games55% · 88 games
Skywrath Magealagon
Skywrath Mage
Model check result
Model favoriteNix Team · 58%
Series resultMiposhka Team 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3