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The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
MODUSwin 2:0
series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Hive-loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

MODUS

Rubick
Rubick
mrls · 12 games
25%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Mirele · 11 games
18%
Tiny
Tiny
bottega · 11 games
27%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
Mirele · 11 games
45%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
prblms · 10 games
50%
Underlord
Underlordsignature
elmo^^ · 10 games
70%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
prblms · 9 games
56%
Puck
Pucksignature
Mirele · 9 games
67%

Hive-

Ringmaster
Ringmaster
slimeyao · 6 games
50%
Rubick
Rubick
slimeyao · 6 games
0%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
slimeyao · 5 games
20%
Tiny
Tiny
byun · 5 games
40%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
kur0patbI4 · 4 games
25%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
kur0patbI4 · 4 games
25%
Chen
Chenoften banned
kur0patbI4 · 3 games
67%
Kez
Kezoften banned
byun · 3 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
623 picks · 411 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
530 picks · 298 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
483 picks · 583 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
467 picks · 392 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
428 picks · 615 bans
50%
Puck
Puck
348 picks · 989 bans
57%
Tusk
Tusk
343 picks · 291 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
336 picks · 518 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 40%
Hero pool strength54% MODUS
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total79% MODUS
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:16
MODUS 67%Hive- 33%
The model gave 67% on MODUS — the game was taken by MODUS in 43:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Doom
Doombottega
52% · 88 games47% · 248 games
Windrangerbyun
Windranger
Puck
PuckMirele
51% · 194 games55% · 145 games
Treant Protectorkur0patbI4
Treant Protector
Timbersaw
Timbersawelmo^^
44% · 97 games51% · 188 games
Lionxsvampire
Lion
Rubick
Rubickprblms
47% · 121 game
Bane
Banekasane
51% · 81 game
Game 2prediction correct35:30
MODUS 67%Hive- 33%
The model gave 67% on MODUS — the game was taken by MODUS in 52:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
Lifestealerbottega
52% · 122 games47% · 382 games
Tinybyun
Tiny
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritMirele
51% · 308 games48% · 305 games
Phoenixkur0patbI4
Phoenix
Doom
Doomelmo^^
58% · 167 games44% · 247 games
Snapfirexsvampire
Snapfire
Rubick
Rubickprblms
49% · 206 games
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorkasane
58% · 131 game
Model check result
Model favoriteMODUS · 79%
Series resultMODUS 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2