DreamLeague Season 28. Открытые отборочные · BO1
result vs predictionMEMomentum Esportswin 1:0
series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 1:0
KINGSloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Momentum Esports
No games played over 6 months.
KINGS
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
569 picks · 642 bans
Tusk
505 picks · 329 bans
Dragon Knight
495 picks · 685 bans
Snapfire
463 picks · 174 bans
Centaur Warrunner
441 picks · 526 bans
Hoodwink
434 picks · 207 bans
Mars
395 picks · 528 bans
Gyrocopter
370 picks · 501 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Momentum Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Momentum Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Momentum Esports 54%KINGS 46%
The model gave 54% on Momentum Esports — the game was taken by Momentum Esports.
Model check result
Model favoriteMomentum Esports · 54%
Series resultMomentum Esports 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1