BetBoom Universe: Episode I — Comics Zone · BO3
result vs prediction
Monaspaloss 1:2series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:2
X3win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Monaspa
No games played over 6 months.
X3
Tiny
velheor · 26 games
Marcioften banned
velheor · 22 games
Pangolieroften banned
NattyNarwhal · 22 games
Hoodwink
alone · 21 game
Enigmaoften banned
Shergarat · 19 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Shergarat · 17 games
Morphlingoften banned
nesfeer · 16 games
Tusk
NattyNarwhal · 16 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
492 picks · 332 bans
Tusk
482 picks · 467 bans
Tiny
468 picks · 411 bans
Mirana
342 picks · 335 bans
Treant Protector
340 picks · 389 bans
Snapfire
293 picks · 155 bans
Ember Spirit
267 picks · 669 bans
Pangolier
255 picks · 622 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 53%
Hero pool strength51% X3
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total56% Monaspa
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed34:17
Monaspa 56%X3 44%
The model gave 56% on Monaspa — the game was taken by X3 in 32:30.
Game 2prediction missed29:17
Monaspa 56%X3 44%
The model gave 56% on Monaspa — the game was taken by X3 in 29:07.
Game 3prediction missed41:37
Monaspa 56%X3 44%
The model gave 56% on Monaspa — the game was taken by X3 in 53:48.
Model check result
Model favoriteMonaspa · 56%
Series resultX3 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 3