BIX Invitationals Summer · BO2
result vs predictionMCMoon Chaserswin 2:0
series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 2:0
TDTeam Dloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Moon Chasers
No games played over 6 months.
Team D
Oracleoften banned
Ponlo · 3 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Ponlo · 1 game
Anti-Mageoften banned
vtFαded · 1 game
Axeoften banned
vtFαded · 1 game
Gyrocopter
vtFαded · 1 game
Juggernautoften banned
vtFαded · 1 game
Keeper of the Light
Ponlo · 1 game
Lifestealeroften banned
vtFαded · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
456 picks · 182 bans
Snapfire
358 picks · 200 bans
Mars
346 picks · 556 bans
Puck
329 picks · 821 bans
Ancient Apparition
319 picks · 479 bans
Nyx Assassin
310 picks · 612 bans
Tiny
303 picks · 241 bans
Enchantress
288 picks · 363 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)30% vs 29%
Hero pool strength51% Moon Chasers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Team D
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam D · 55%
Series resultMoon Chasers 2:0
Series predictionmissed