ESL One Malaysia 2022. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
MooN teamloss 0:1series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Nemiga Gamingwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
MooN team
No games played over 6 months.
Nemiga Gaming
Marsoften banned
TheChosenOne · 18 games
Puckoften banned
Malr1ne · 17 games
Death Prophetoften banned
VANSKOR · 15 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Kiritych · 14 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
Kiritych · 14 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
VANSKOR · 13 games
Rubicksignature
Heaven · 12 games
Banesignature
VANSKOR · 10 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
579 picks · 444 bans
Puck
416 picks · 892 bans
Mars
364 picks · 579 bans
Snapfire
351 picks · 178 bans
Dragon Knight
350 picks · 465 bans
Bane
316 picks · 201 bans
Dawnbreaker
313 picks · 368 bans
Ember Spirit
292 picks · 568 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 62%
Hero pool strength51% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% MooN team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
MooN team 51%Nemiga Gaming 49%
The model gave 51% on MooN team — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteMooN team · 51%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1