BTS Pro Series Season 6. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Motivate.Trust Gamingwin 2:0series probability
80%20%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Lilgunloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Motivate.Trust Gaming
Elder Titan
LionaX · 5 games
Lion
Q · 4 games
Clockwerk
Q · 3 games
Ursaoften banned
JaCkky · 3 games
Morphlingoften banned
JaCkky · 2 games
Puckoften banned
Fearless · 2 games
Snapfire
Q · 2 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Fearless · 2 games
Lilgun
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
382 picks · 980 bans
Lion
371 picks · 197 bans
Mars
365 picks · 589 bans
Grimstroke
346 picks · 363 bans
Death Prophet
293 picks · 642 bans
Snapfire
292 picks · 170 bans
Tusk
288 picks · 223 bans
Void Spirit
281 picks · 477 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)86% vs 30%
Hero pool strength58% Motivate.Trust Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total80% Motivate.Trust Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteMotivate.Trust Gaming · 80%
Series resultMotivate.Trust Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect