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DreamLeague Season 27 · BO3
result vs prediction
MOUZwin 2:1
series probability
93%7%
probability at match start · final 2:1
GamerLegionloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

MOUZ

Tusk
Tusksignature
yamich · 58 games
72%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Seleri · 46 games
54%
Pudge
Pudge
yamich · 44 games
57%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
MidOne · 36 games
64%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
BOOM · 35 games
69%
Juggernaut
Juggernautsignature
Crystallis · 34 games
71%
Mars
Marssignature
BOOM · 31 game
65%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
MidOne · 31 game
65%

GamerLegion

Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Bignum · 8 games
63%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Speeed · 6 games
83%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Fayde · 5 games
60%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Speeed · 5 games
20%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Fayde · 4 games
25%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Bignum · 4 games
0%
Warlock
Warlock
Speeed · 4 games
25%
Axe
Axe
Fayde · 3 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
774 picks · 357 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
597 picks · 300 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
564 picks · 456 bans
49%
Disruptor
Disruptor
548 picks · 549 bans
52%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
547 picks · 676 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
516 picks · 308 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
493 picks · 751 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
483 picks · 548 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 42%
Hero pool strength59% MOUZ
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total93% MOUZ
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed10:41
MOUZ 79%GamerLegion 21%
The model gave 79% on MOUZ — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 35:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Abaddon
AbaddonCrystallis
51% · 286 games42% · 220 games
UrsaYamSun
Ursa
Enigma
EnigmaBOOM
54% · 138 games46% · 285 games
Queen of PainRCY
Queen of Pain
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritMidOne
45% · 377 games53% · 305 games
Centaur WarrunnerFayde
Centaur Warrunner
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinyamich
54% · 76 games63% · 55 games
VenomancerSpeeed
Venomancer
Jakiro
JakiroSeleri
46% · 423 games51% · 435 games
TuskBignum
Tusk
Game 2prediction correct26:15
MOUZ 80%GamerLegion 20%
The model gave 80% on MOUZ — the game was taken by MOUZ in 38:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightCrystallis
46% · 425 games48% · 271 game
TerrorbladeYamSun
Terrorblade
Broodmother
BroodmotherBOOM
59% · 41 game53% · 64 games
HuskarRCY
Huskar
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonMidOne
50% · 244 games60% · 131 game
ChenSpeeed
Chen
Windranger
Windrangeryamich
46% · 197 games46% · 210 games
MarsFayde
Mars
Undying
UndyingSeleri
45% · 121 game51% · 352 games
JakiroBignum
Jakiro
Game 3prediction correct25:8
MOUZ 80%GamerLegion 20%
The model gave 80% on MOUZ — the game was taken by MOUZ in 24:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
AlchemistCrystallis
45% · 47 games52% · 120 games
InvokerRCY
Invoker
Leshrac
LeshracMidOne
52% · 169 games48% · 48 games
JuggernautYamSun
Juggernaut
Tidehunter
TidehunterBOOM
48% · 192 games47% · 244 games
Centaur WarrunnerFayde
Centaur Warrunner
Chen
ChenSeleri
53% · 194 games50% · 380 games
JakiroSpeeed
Jakiro
Tusk
Tuskyamich
53% · 397 games48% · 207 games
RingmasterBignum
Ringmaster
Model check result
Model favoriteMOUZ · 93%
Series resultMOUZ 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3