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BLAST Slam VI · BO1
result vs prediction
MOUZloss 0:1
series probability
85%15%
probability at match start · final 0:1
GamerLegionwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

MOUZ

Tusk
Tusksignature
yamich · 66 games
70%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Seleri · 52 games
56%
Pudge
Pudge
yamich · 47 games
55%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
MidOne · 45 games
64%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
BOOM · 41 game
61%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Seleri · 35 games
71%
Juggernaut
Juggernautsignature
Crystallis · 34 games
71%
Mars
Marssignature
BOOM · 34 games
65%

GamerLegion

Chen
Chenoften banned
Speeed · 15 games
53%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Speeed · 15 games
60%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Fayde · 11 games
55%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Bignum · 11 games
36%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Speeed · 10 games
80%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Bignum · 10 games
60%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
RCY · 9 games
22%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Fayde · 9 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
613 picks · 945 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
538 picks · 438 bans
46%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
489 picks · 643 bans
56%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
484 picks · 645 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
444 picks · 965 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
401 picks · 660 bans
58%
Mars
Mars
394 picks · 541 bans
48%
Warlock
Warlock
387 picks · 236 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 49%
Hero pool strength55% MOUZ
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total85% MOUZ
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed37:42
MOUZ 69%GamerLegion 31%
The model gave 69% on MOUZ — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 56:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Timbersaw
TimbersawBOOM
49% · 160 games51% · 190 games
Shadow FiendYamSun
Shadow Fiend
Bristleback
BristlebackCrystallis
52% · 176 games50% · 431 game
Ember SpiritRCY
Ember Spirit
Tiny
TinyMidOne
40% · 412 games52% · 120 games
EnigmaFayde
Enigma
Snapfire
SnapfireSeleri
49% · 200 games48% · 219 games
ClockwerkBignum
Clockwerk
Lion
Lionyamich
52% · 64 games66% · 52 games
Treant ProtectorSpeeed
Treant Protector
Model check result
Model favoriteMOUZ · 85%
Series resultGamerLegion 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1