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BetBoom Dacha Dota 2 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
MOUZloss 1:1
series probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Team Liquidloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

MOUZ

Witch Doctor
Witch Doctor
bengan · 37 games
54%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
bengan · 32 games
56%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Ulnit · 30 games
53%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
Force · 28 games
46%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Force · 28 games
61%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
NARMAN · 26 games
54%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Force · 25 games
28%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
NARMAN · 23 games
61%

Team Liquid

Tiny
Tinysignature
Nisha · 24 games
71%
Doom
Doomsignature
33 · 23 games
78%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Nisha · 22 games
41%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
33 · 19 games
47%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
33 · 18 games
61%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
iNSaNiA · 18 games
61%
Razor
Razorsignature
miCKe · 18 games
83%
Rubick
Rubick
Boxi · 18 games
44%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Pangolier
Pangolier
339 picks · 465 bans
49%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
333 picks · 287 bans
54%
Snapfire
Snapfire
325 picks · 229 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
316 picks · 441 bans
54%
Enchantress
Enchantress
310 picks · 566 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
284 picks · 460 bans
46%
Windranger
Windranger
268 picks · 385 bans
53%
Sand King
Sand King
259 picks · 776 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)39% vs 65%
Hero pool strength55% Team Liquid
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total67% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct13:19
MOUZ 38%Team Liquid 62%
The model gave 62% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 29:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendUlnit
46% · 127 games56% · 246 games
LunamiCKe
Luna
Puck
PuckSupream^
50% · 277 games49% · 97 games
Sand KingSabeRLight-
Sand King
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerForce
52% · 366 games54% · 310 games
TinyNisha
Tiny
Elder Titan
Elder TitanImmersion
48% · 98 games53% · 113 games
Naga SireniNSaNiA
Naga Siren
Muerta
MuertaNARMAN
46% · 104 games45% · 206 games
HoodwinkBoxi
Hoodwink
Game 2prediction missed47:26
MOUZ 41%Team Liquid 59%
The model gave 59% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by MOUZ in 46:06.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterUlnit
52% · 156 games48% · 95 games
BristlebackmiCKe
Bristleback
Dark Seer
Dark SeerForce
59% · 106 games46% · 70 games
Queen of PainNisha
Queen of Pain
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritSupream^
61% · 119 games51% · 222 games
MarsSabeRLight-
Mars
Dark Willow
Dark WillowNARMAN
49% · 215 games41% · 131 game
MuertaBoxi
Muerta
Tusk
TuskImmersion
48% · 211 games49% · 289 games
ClockwerkiNSaNiA
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 67%
Accuracy by game1 of 2