Riyadh Masters 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
MOUZwin 1:0series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Tteam_Xakodaloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
MOUZ
Muertasignature
Thiolicor · 19 games
Phoenix
Fly · 19 games
Tinyoften banned
Supream^ · 17 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Supream^ · 16 games
Magnussignature
Force · 16 games
Morphlingsignature
Lowskill · 15 games
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Lowskill · 13 games
Clockwerk
Fly · 12 games
team_Xakoda
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
483 picks · 447 bans
Tiny
475 picks · 559 bans
Ringmaster
446 picks · 227 bans
Terrorblade
350 picks · 689 bans
Storm Spirit
311 picks · 469 bans
Ancient Apparition
303 picks · 701 bans
Tusk
296 picks · 248 bans
Windranger
291 picks · 88 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% MOUZ
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total77% MOUZ
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct37:26
MOUZ 77%team_Xakoda 23%
The model gave 77% on MOUZ — the game was taken by MOUZ in 46:28.
Model check result
Model favoriteMOUZ · 77%
Series resultMOUZ 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1