ESL One Bangkok 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Myth Avenue Gaming
Morphlingoften banned
MangO · 1 game
Primal Beastoften banned
xiaoyu154 · 1 game
Underlord
Nishababy · 1 game
Call911
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
435 picks · 561 bans
Clockwerk
374 picks · 382 bans
Pangolier
323 picks · 442 bans
Luna
317 picks · 376 bans
Enchantress
301 picks · 576 bans
Dark Willow
279 picks · 150 bans
Dragon Knight
266 picks · 338 bans
Shadow Demon
258 picks · 981 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 60%
Hero pool strength56% Call911
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Myth Avenue Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Myth Avenue Gaming 59%Call911 41%
The model gave 59% on Myth Avenue Gaming — the game was taken by Myth Avenue Gaming.
Game 2prediction missed
Myth Avenue Gaming 59%Call911 41%
The model gave 59% on Myth Avenue Gaming — the game was taken by Call911.
Game 3prediction correct
Myth Avenue Gaming 59%Call911 41%
The model gave 59% on Myth Avenue Gaming — the game was taken by Myth Avenue Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteMyth Avenue Gaming · 59%
Series resultMyth Avenue Gaming 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3