Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. ЮВА. Второй дивизион · BO1
result vs prediction
Myth Avenue Gamingloss 0:1series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 0:1
HHorizonwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Myth Avenue Gaming
Tusksignature
Hishge · 22 games
Miranasignature
RR · 15 games
Rubicksignature
RR · 15 games
Nature's Prophetsignature
zeal · 12 games
Naga Sirenoften banned
Meracle · 11 games
Leshracsignature
xsilearn · 10 games
Beastmastersignature
zeal · 9 games
Doomoften banned
Meracle · 9 games
Horizon
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
1000 picks · 698 bans
Tiny
639 picks · 465 bans
Nature's Prophet
577 picks · 931 bans
Disruptor
558 picks · 411 bans
Tusk
532 picks · 409 bans
Snapfire
527 picks · 369 bans
Death Prophet
519 picks · 1210 bans
Clockwerk
499 picks · 385 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 43%
Hero pool strength59% Myth Avenue Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total54% Myth Avenue Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed14:29
Myth Avenue Gaming 54%Horizon 46%
The model gave 54% on Myth Avenue Gaming — the game was taken by Horizon in 26:00.
Model check result
Model favoriteMyth Avenue Gaming · 54%
Series resultHorizon 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1