ESL One Raleigh 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Myth Avenue Gamingloss 0:1series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Team Kukuyswin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Myth Avenue Gaming
Lion
Bombi · 2 games
Bristlebackoften banned
xiaoyu154 · 1 game
Doomoften banned
xiaoyu154 · 1 game
Earthshaker
Bob · 1 game
Grimstroke
Bombi · 1 game
Morphlingoften banned
MangO · 1 game
Muerta
Bombi · 1 game
Primal Beastoften banned
xiaoyu154 · 1 game
Team Kukuys
Marci
Palos · 7 games
Mirana
Palos · 5 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Jing · 5 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Palos · 4 games
Tuskoften banned
Natsumi · 4 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Natsumi · 3 games
Dark Willow
Jing · 3 games
Lone Druidoften banned
Palos · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
450 picks · 368 bans
Clockwerk
422 picks · 549 bans
Batrider
371 picks · 473 bans
Lion
366 picks · 191 bans
Gyrocopter
361 picks · 570 bans
Pangolier
354 picks · 588 bans
Phoenix
353 picks · 391 bans
Tusk
344 picks · 371 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 58%
Hero pool strength60% Team Kukuys
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total60% Team Kukuys
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct14:29
Myth Avenue Gaming 40%Team Kukuys 60%
The model gave 60% on Team Kukuys — the game was taken by Team Kukuys in 24:19.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Kukuys · 60%
Series resultTeam Kukuys 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1