Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. ЮВА. Второй дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Myth Avenue Gamingloss 0:2series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 0:2
XERXIAwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Myth Avenue Gaming
Tusksignature
Hishge · 21 game
Miranasignature
RR · 15 games
Rubicksignature
RR · 12 games
Beastmastersignature
zeal · 9 games
Leshracsignature
xsilearn · 9 games
Linasignature
xsilearn · 9 games
Naga Sirensignature
Meracle · 8 games
Nature's Prophetsignature
zeal · 8 games
XERXIA
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
985 picks · 670 bans
Tiny
661 picks · 484 bans
Nature's Prophet
594 picks · 947 bans
Tusk
561 picks · 438 bans
Snapfire
527 picks · 353 bans
Treant Protector
524 picks · 519 bans
Death Prophet
513 picks · 1122 bans
Clockwerk
486 picks · 360 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 54%
Hero pool strength62% Myth Avenue Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total60% XERXIA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:36
Myth Avenue Gaming 40%XERXIA 60%
The model gave 60% on XERXIA — the game was taken by XERXIA in 48:38.
Game 2prediction correct22:31
Myth Avenue Gaming 40%XERXIA 60%
The model gave 60% on XERXIA — the game was taken by XERXIA in 26:48.
Model check result
Model favoriteXERXIA · 60%
Series resultXERXIA 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2