DreamLeague Season 23 - Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Natus Vincere Juniorwin 1:0series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 1:0
QTQQ Teamloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Natus Vincere Junior
Snapfire
Daze · 30 games
Grimstroke
Riddys · 23 games
Lion
Riddys · 20 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
pma · 19 games
Morphlingoften banned
gotthejuice · 17 games
Faceless Voidsignature
gotthejuice · 15 games
Pugna
Riddys · 15 games
Marcisignature
Daze · 13 games
QQ Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
383 picks · 354 bans
Centaur Warrunner
356 picks · 564 bans
Vengeful Spirit
343 picks · 337 bans
Mars
342 picks · 518 bans
Techies
330 picks · 261 bans
Batrider
323 picks · 632 bans
Hoodwink
313 picks · 187 bans
Tiny
300 picks · 294 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% QQ Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% Natus Vincere Junior
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Natus Vincere Junior 72%QQ Team 28%
The model gave 72% on Natus Vincere Junior — the game was taken by Natus Vincere Junior.
Model check result
Model favoriteNatus Vincere Junior · 72%
Series resultNatus Vincere Junior 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1