DreamLeague Season 27. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Natus Vincere Juniorloss 0:1series probability
80%20%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Rrobloxmafiawin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Natus Vincere Junior
Ringmastersignature
Riddys · 29 games
Tiny
Niku · 18 games
Timbersawsignature
Niku · 16 games
Pangolieroften banned
pma · 13 games
Shadow Shamansignature
Zayac · 13 games
Dark Seeroften banned
pma · 12 games
Pucksignature
Niku · 11 games
Doomsignature
gotthejuice · 10 games
robloxmafia
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
298 picks · 192 bans
Puck
295 picks · 683 bans
Dark Willow
260 picks · 110 bans
Tusk
258 picks · 258 bans
Dawnbreaker
257 picks · 636 bans
Nature's Prophet
251 picks · 531 bans
Disruptor
247 picks · 211 bans
Marci
245 picks · 560 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength56% Natus Vincere Junior
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total80% Natus Vincere Junior
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed14:45
Natus Vincere Junior 80%robloxmafia 20%
The model gave 80% on Natus Vincere Junior — the game was taken by robloxmafia in 44:56.
Model check result
Model favoriteNatus Vincere Junior · 80%
Series resultrobloxmafia 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1