CCT Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Natus Vincere Juniorwin 2:0series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:0
VVrooomy.ioloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Natus Vincere Junior
Lionsignature
Riddys · 30 games
Pangolieroften banned
Niku · 24 games
Timbersawoften banned
Niku · 21 game
Primal Beastsignature
Niku · 20 games
Batridersignature
Daze · 19 games
Pudgesignature
gotthejuice · 19 games
Lifestealersignature
gotthejuice · 18 games
Rubick
Daze · 15 games
Vrooomy.io
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
441 picks · 373 bans
Hoodwink
396 picks · 448 bans
Weaver
388 picks · 821 bans
Tiny
387 picks · 867 bans
Phoenix
368 picks · 766 bans
Pangolier
360 picks · 508 bans
Clockwerk
339 picks · 506 bans
Jakiro
335 picks · 251 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)39% vs 58%
Hero pool strength55% Natus Vincere Junior
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Natus Vincere Junior
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:15
Natus Vincere Junior 64%Vrooomy.io 36%
The model gave 64% on Natus Vincere Junior — the game was taken by Natus Vincere Junior in 37:50.
Game 2prediction correct32:5
Natus Vincere Junior 64%Vrooomy.io 36%
The model gave 64% on Natus Vincere Junior — the game was taken by Natus Vincere Junior in 28:57.
Model check result
Model favoriteNatus Vincere Junior · 64%
Series resultNatus Vincere Junior 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2